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Ahknaten Oils up ADM and Lets it Slide By

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Today the earnings came out for ADM, and so I'll give you my opinion - short.

Following my traditional method of analysis, I look at these stories:

Value - Nice low PE and price/book, but poor price/cash flow. My conservative valuation gives me a price target of $33. Short.
Growth - Nice sales growth (not too low, not too high), and nice positive (increasing) earnings momentum. Long.
Smart money - Nice low short interest, but the insiders are selling, that's not good. Short.
Quality - High accruals. Short.

So, perhaps ADM would be fitting for a growth fund, but if I was pitching this for a value/blend/smart money/quality fund... I'm sorry, short ADM.

Tuesday April 29, 2008 : 07:53 PM

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