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I continue to hold my opinion of
$100 oil and $1000 gold becoming the new norm
(the new floor support pricing)
as set forth in my previous blog
"the demise of comfortable markets"
(February 27 2008)
and as reptialian amplified by:
the WallStreetGecko
interesting trade strategies are being facilitated by
the existance of counter-opinion
expecting a retracement of the
recent high commodity pricing
I have added to my holdings of oil refiners
when their stock prices recently became more attractive
although pricing of gold mining companies
has remained too high for me to
consider such investment as being value timing opportunity
overall, it is rather depressing to consider that
reptilian concepts might be what works on Wall Street
greed is ... ?
although in attempts to be fair,
it might be reptilian survival instinct,
rather then reptilian greed,
which is fueling the higher commodity pricing
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Comments (1)
donquixote,
I agree with you on oil and gold. Natural gas is just beginning its run and has lots of upside left. Some gold mining stocks you might want to research are LMC, UXG, and NXG. They are smaller players with lower prices and could be takeover targets for larger companies needing to expand their reserves. Gold mining is highly profitable in this environment; it costs from 190 to 350 per oz to get it out of the ground (price varies by country and terrain). Now subtract the cost from the current price and you can easily see the upside potential in even the smallest of mining companies.
We have a long way to go to work through this dollar crisis. Along the way there may be two or more Fed rate cuts, which will only drive the price of gold higher.
donquixote response:
NXG and LMC would seem to have favorable forward P/E,
however I don't understand how UXG could be losing money at the current favorable gold pricing
the short term problem that I see with natural gas pricing
is that I believe that a lot of marketeers have quite short attention spans,
which might be of concern when the current cold weather eases;
my view of natural gas pricing is that it is largely effected
by scarcity in north-eastern U.S. during cold periods
I'm "betting" on LNG (Cheniere) being on the forefront of the eventual long term solution,
when public "not in my back yard" opposition to Liquified Natural Gas docking terminals dissipates
Posted by Rebecca Witwer | March 13, 2008 8:30 PM