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I had read persuasive arguments for no cuts (Ken Kam's for example), a medium cut and a large cut. Because my strategy calls for balancing, I was prepared to take action whether the market went way up in joy or plummeted in disappointment at the Fed's decision.
As it turns out, my portfolios (real and SLO) have benefited enormously from the large interest rate cut. My biggest SLO holdings (RIO, AMX, BAM and IWP) have all risen dramatically, and because I purchased RIO and AMX when prices were low, they've received an even bigger bounce than if I'd purchased them at the beginning of the competition or more recently.
Because the surprise was on the up side, I will rebalance at the end of the month as originally planned. Had the surprise been on the down side, some or all of my limit orders would have triggered, and I would have purchased stocks at what would - hopefully - have been bargain prices. With those purchases incorporated, I would then have rebalanced and made additional purchases.
But the biggest impact of the Fed's decision has been for me personally. Because the Fed's rate cut was big enough and because the real investments in the real family trust (including shares of RIO purchased when the price was at its nadir) have soared, instead of borrowing money from the trust as planned, we're borrowing from the bank.
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Comments (1)
I had read persuasive arguments for no cuts (Ken Kam's for example), a medium cut and a large cut.
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Indeed, overabundance of different arguments I had read and listen before the bang also. It clearly shows that many times we don't have either good sense of expectations or we aren't not so well calibrated in our judgments of probability at least not so reasonable well like meteorologists, for example
The best I was able to find around the net is what Warren Buffett said to CNBC on Sep.18 1:46 PM ET :
I Don't Care If the Fed Cuts Rates
Posted by Armin Stuk | September 24, 2007 12:06 PM