I couldn't believe what I read this morning when I checked in on the MSN money page and read Jubak's article entitled, "Where's the bailout for Main Street?" I feel like I am being a malcontent here, since I just railed on Jon Markman recently, and now I turn my aim toward Jim Jubak, someone who I respect (though I have never met him) and make his articles required reading.
Here's a shout to Jubak, Markman, and anyone else who speaks up for "Joe six pack" or "Joe Investor"--- none of you speak for me, and I am tired of your assumptions on my social class. The "Main Street" you speak of is the one I live on, and I don't need your condescension.
I am Joe Investor, and you are not, so let me tell you about things here in the trenches. My wife and I make less than 75k combined, and we are doing just fine thanks to a little hard work and pre-planning. We are putting away over 35% of our income toward a fund that will help us put a down payment on a house in about a year, probably a house that someone else got overextended on due to their own irresponsibility. We have our goals, and we are reaching them a little bit at a time, one day at a time. Not everyone on Main Street blows their money on cigarettes, beer, satellite t.v. , and lottery tickets. Some do, but assuming we are all miserable is plain wrong, and I doubt I am in a small minority.
Jubak writes, "So if you think your paycheck isn't keeping up with the price of milk, bread, medicine, and gasoline, you're absolutely right. And for many American families, this isn't a recent phenomenon. The median hourly real wage has been falling for the last three and a half years. So a family in the middle of the U.S. economic pyramid knows there's a recession going on; for some the recession has been going on for three years."
When I read tripe like that, it makes me wonder if someone as smart as Jubak thinks that lowly of regular folks, or if its just an article churned out to play to some readers emotions who have it good, but feel bad for those that don't. I guess I should check my freedom in at the door and Jubak can be my dad. "Woe is me", I should say. I give up . . . let's just surrender the country to the financial elite so we regular folks don't send it to Hades in a hand basket. Paychecks not keeping up with the price of milk and bread? My wife and I compare prices each and every time we go to the grocery store. We pre-plan meals so we don't waste food. We only buy cereal when it is on sale, and if it isn't, we eat oats, which is a heck of a lot cheaper and most of the time, more healthy. Repeat that on many other food purchases. I can't be the only person that does this type of stuff!
Gasoline is too expensive? Please. We should all be writing letters to the CEOs of Exxon Mobil (XOM), Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA), BP, and the rest of them with long letters of thanks. Thank you for providing me with a product that allows me drive wherever I want for holidays, birthdays, to work, or to the mall. It sure beats hitching up the horse. I used to have a boss that whined about the price of gasoline while he and his wife purposefully bought a house out in the countryside and commuted 40 plus minutes each way to work and back. Did you catch that? There was a choice involved there! Since when did the free choice of purchasing a product become an entitlement to get it for whatever price I think is right? Now that I am on my soapbox about the gasoline price whiners, let me tell you what I did about the price of gas.
Over two years ago, before I got married, my soon to be wife and I sat down and did a cost benefit analysis of our future living and working situation. We purposefully chose to move closer to work, so that our commutes would be shorter, not only to save on gasoline, but to also give us more free time. We crunched all the numbers, (rent, insurance, gas, wear and tear on vehicles, etc) and decided to make the move based on this analysis. I now live less than 2 miles from work and she is less than 4 miles from work. I not only gained an extra 40-50 minutes of time every day, but I also haven't looked at the price of gas in months. I have no idea what gasoline costs here in central Ohio. I fill up maybe once a month. A choice was made, and it is paying dividends. And by the way the abridged version of the story above wasn't easy. Sacrifices were made. Here's some things I didn't do:
1. Whine about the oil companies
2. Demand my politicians "do something about it"
3. Demand a windfall profits tax on those associated with the oil business.
All of the things listed above aren't proactive. You need to get off your butt and do something about your own situation. People do it all the time and will continue to do it. We aren't all helpless, are we? Can't move closer to your work? Get a car that gets better gas mileage. Can't do that? Forego one night of going out to dinner, and put that money in the tank. Lose the Starbucks coffee (SBUX) every morning. Get rid of that Tim Horton's bagel. Come on, people. In the end, it boils down to the fact that no one wants to make even one slight modification of their consumer behavior to accommodate for price fluctuations. I drive a car that is paid for, and my next car purchase is already planned, months in advance. I seriously hope I am not the only one on Main Street that pre-plans purchases. That big fat economic stimulus check? Yep, a plan is already in place, and blowing it all isn't the plan. Listening to Jubak, I must be the only one on Main Street doing this. I guess that although I make several consumer choices, it must be someone else's fault I have no cash in my pocket. It's someone else's fault all the time, every time.
By the way . . . even if an oil company gets hammered with a big windfall profits tax, how does that help you? You are still paying market price! Here's an All Points Bulletin from Main Street: It'll be a long wait if you are always looking for someone else to help you.
Jubak says, "The last time we had a recession, the rather mild one that ushered in the current decade, Congress acted to extend unemployment benefits beyond the basic 26 weeks in March 2002. By that point in the recession, 1.3 million workers had exhausted their basic benefits. This time around, in the frantic effort to get any kind of stimulus package past both parties in Congress and past the White House, Congress refused to extend unemployment benefits for workers who had exhausted their basic benefits. Out of work for 27 weeks? Tough luck, we're cutting you off."
Guess what, Jim my man? I have been out of work before, and there's nothing like tough luck to put some fire under someone's rump. Doing odd jobs for months is tough, but it is one heck of a motivator. Going through pain teaches us lessons. Going through pain teaches us to prepare. Going through pain in the tough times helps us flourish in the good times. This business of always blaming someone else while our hands are extended looking to take a freebie is the problem. Time to buck up, folks. Those of us on Main Street can deal with economic problems, it just takes more economic nudging for some than others. Hand-outs don't help us, they hurt. The sooner we all realize that the better.
I have 40 or so years to prepare for retirement, but if I am to listen to any of about 12 talking heads, I may as well throw in the towel now. There's nothing I can do, 40 years isn't enough time, and it'll be someone else's fault I am not ready for retirement. I am destined to be social security poor, right? I say "social security poor" because if I get to retirement age and social security is all I have, I will be in poverty, plain and simple. (Despite this sad reality of Social Security, there's plenty of people that want to preserve this system "as is", continuing the cycle. This dumbfounds me). I guess I need to prepare today for blaming someone tomorrow.
Sports stars juice up, and it isn't their fault because of the pressure of being a top athlete.
Homeowners are losing their homes, but it isn't their fault because someone didn't tell them to read the contract, ask questions, or even think about preparing for a worst-case scenario. It's someone else's fault.
A kid commits a crime, and it's society's fault, the school's fault, or the neighborhood's fault.
A man is morbidly obese, and it's Mcdonald's fault (MCD), Burger King's fault (BKC), or Wendy's fault (WEN) for making him fat. This same man has high cholesterol, and Lipitor costs a lot. That's Pfizer's fault (PFE). Hopefully the class action lawsuit he is part of against the tobacco companies can pay for the drugs. After all, it's Altria's fault (MO) that he can't breathe after smoking for decades.
My all time favorite blame game was a subject I covered in a blog last September in an entry called "Abolishment of the Uptick Rule to Blame?" I bet you didn't know it, but the reason many company's stock prices have been in the toilet is because of those charlatans called short sellers. Since the uptick rule was abolished, short sellers have been getting a large chunk of blame. I was in the gym the other day watching Cramer on Mad Money spewing forth more uptick rule abolishment anger, and in today's Wall Street Journal, there is an article by Gregory Zuckerman laying out the case for and against the elimination of the uptick rule. Don't blame boneheaded moves by management. Don't blame the normal cycle of markets. It's someone else's fault, and that someone else is a short seller. We get constant droning on and on about how we need to view the market long term and invest long term, but at the same time these same people complain about volatility and downturns of the market.
Want to read some common sense on short selling? Go read Vad Yazvinski's "Why I think short selling makes sense", a blog post from February. While you are at it, go read his bio. Foreigners that come to this country are successful because they work hard and don't make excuses. Vad is an example of that. Immigrants aren't making excuses, they are taking the bull by the horns and making the sky the limit. They aren't used to having every type of economic safety net known to man to catch them when they fall. Home grown Americans need to learn that work ethic. My generation, the Generation X-ers, need to get our lazy duffs in gear, and you boomers need to teach us some tough lessons, not provide hand outs. I respect my elders, but you guys need to stop being soft. (I am now stepping off my soapbox).
The market tore a chunk out of me today, ripping out a good 2% plus piece of meat from my portfolio, and my cash has been deployed to beef up my short ETF positions. This rally could actually have some teeth this time, so I am glad the cash is there to buy when necessary. I have followed FXP all the way down from my last sell at $118.00, and I have no worries.
Actually, shouldn't I be finding someone to blame for my portfolio problems?
----Jonathan
Comments: View Comments | Tuesday April 1, 2008 | Stocks: BKC, BP, FXP, MCD, MO, PFE, RDSA, SBUX, WEN, XOM,
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Archive Comments (15)
Jonathan,
Thank you. I mean no disrespect to Jubak either, and did not read his article, but completely aside from that I'd like to say it's refreshing to hear your perspective. I mentioned in a recent post that the other day I heard someone email CNN complaining that the recession was taking thousands out of their retirement account because stocks were going down. I had the same reaction as you--why do people assume none of this is their choice? Who is forcing them to buy stocks and hold them all the way down? Why don't they take responsibility for their money? Unfortunately, not all on Main St. are as sharp as you.
Nothing personal against CNN, but I always see people on Mr. Dobbs show complaining about jobs and immigration and NAFTA and all that. I have no doubt some people have it tough. But I also know of hard working Mexicans who leave their families, come to the US, work 2 jobs and not only support themselves but also support extended families back in Mexico.
Bottom line: Most of us don't know anything about hardship, myself included. Most of us are very lucky to have what we do, and that's why I try to make the most of my investments. I earned the money, why would I not try to learn how to keep it?
Best,
stocksurfer
Posted by thestocksurfer April 1, 2008 10:24 PM
very nice post.
but, i won't blame you for writing a good article. =)
Posted by ahknaten April 1, 2008 10:45 PM
Excellent.
Posted by Thomas Armistead April 2, 2008 6:44 AM
Amazing. Your post should really inspire anyone of "our generation" to start taking ownership of our decisions. For those of us who grew up with a theme of "immediate satisfaction", it can be hard to think that we can't have what we want, when and how we want it. But it's true. "Sacrifice" is a word we are all going to have to get used to.
Absolutely amazing post. Thank you!
Posted by Lisa Kaneff April 2, 2008 10:28 AM
Jonathan,
You earned even more respect from me you with this post! and it's not because you mention me by name :)
I'll tell you something about me personally- since the very beginning of my journey here in the US I simply could not comprehend why most American kids of my age had such a strong entitlement feeling... I finally figured it out several years ago after seeing some ribbons and prizes for 29th place ou of 30 contestants that one of my friends had prominently featured in his room- it's starts early- first we don't want to tell our kids a word "no" and then tell them that just participating is just as good as winning...
I mean, come on- I wish they printed a sign for every teenager out there and put it on their desk for 10 years- "Don't go around saying the world owes you a living. The world owes you nothing. It was here first" Mark Twain
P.S. I had it written in my cube for three years- may be that's why I have an office now :)
Posted by dishwasher April 2, 2008 8:53 PM
Jonathan,
Eloquently put. There is no free ride in this life. We are all responsible for the consequences of our decisions. Good luck to you with your investment strategy. One hint: buy a little gold. It can give you a boost in the worst of times.
Posted by Rebecca Witwer April 3, 2008 11:55 AM
I happy that you're doing so well as a result of your hard work, discipline, and smarts. But I think you make my points rather than refute them. You say, for example, that you're combatting higher prices for bread and milk by shopping smart. Great. But I think that exactly proves my point that for the median worker in the U.S. real wages--that is after inflation--have declined in the last three years. Same with your comments on your plan to save on gas. Yes, you've found a way to avoid higher gas prices, but the effort you've put into it demonstrates the real pain in the squeeze. I never argued that there's nothing that you (we--if you're willing to grant that I live in the real world too) could do about it. I think you've found a number of really smart personal solutions. But I think you're ignoring the larger political point. This squeeze on incomes for half the U.S. working population isn't an accident. It didn't just happen by itself. The decline in real wages comes at the same time as a record percentage of the national income is going into corporate profits. Companies are getting more of the pie and they're not passing along the growth in their profits to U.S. workers. The squeeze on real incomes for half of U.S. wage earners comes as Washington has cut the tax rates paid by partners in hedge funds and private equity funds. It's come as CEO pay has sky rocketed. The government to the degree that it's done anything in the economic sphere has worked to create profits for companies and CEOs and the managers of hedge funds. I think your efforts to cut expenses and save by moving closer to work, by controlling your grocery spending are admirable on an individual basis but I think you're swimming against a strong current out of Washington directing more and more of the national income away from the median worker. Individuals can succeed in fighting that current but it sure makes the job tougher.
Posted by JimJubak April 8, 2008 12:59 PM
Joe Investor: Your 3rd written paragraph. Congratulations on being able to save 35% of your income to save for a house that someone else got overextended on due to their lack of responsibilty. I hope congratulations are in order after you purchase this house. Your 35% weekly savings and more will disappear once you start to pay your mortgage, property taxes, insurance and association dues. I live on main street and am a responsible spender. I have an extremely difficult time paying for all of these including, health insurance, car insurance, life insurance,groceries, taxes, phone, water, electricity, natural gas, childrens education etc. I do wish you the best of luck.
Posted by indianrider April 9, 2008 8:05 PM
Indianrider:
So your recommendation would be not to buy a house, then? Woe is me. Truthfully, I will enjoy the challenge. You'd be surprised what a person is capable of when they are willing to adapt and overcome. The laundry list of expenses you list are the same things I pay for, other than property taxes, house upkeep expenses, and children's education since I don't have kids yet. I am not worried about when that time will come, I am planning for it. I enjoy my own small American dream, and I will continue moving forward pursuing more. I just can't seem to figure out how all of those "lucky" people always seem to be the ones that are working the hardest and using their brains. The problem isn't that we have no choices. Rather, it is our own unwillingness to make and live with the tough ones.
--Jonathan
Posted by Jonathan Coyle April 9, 2008 10:16 PM
Greetings All, JimJubak, I am a big fan of yours, but think you are missing the bigger picture. Sure times are tough for some, but aren't they always. It is what you do during the tough times that shines during the great times to come.
Those waiting on DC to "fix" it are in for only dissapointment. DC fixes nothing because if they did (or could), we would no longer need them... We have the power to fix this ourselves.
Regarding CEO pay, I think it is too much, but also think the "serfholders" need to hold the "lords" accountable. If these guys were so talented that they "earned" their pay, then why so many mistakes?? From what I have seen in the business world, the top guys have more info, or have "landed" into their positions, but are no smarter than anyone else. Time to pay them like the monkeys they are. There is a lot of talent out there waiting in the wings. Some companies that live up to this, and I prefer to spend my money there.
Just remember, 30+% of the world lives their whole lives on $1 per day. What can be said about CEO's can also be said for us Joe's here in the US. The world will even it all out eventually. Our wave is cresting. Best to make use of the wealth we have rather than squander it on toys. Do you have a cell phone? What have you done with your earnings??
Posted by CHP April 9, 2008 10:34 PM
It's great that some people like Jonathan are doing REASONABLY well. My family climbed from living in a slum to living in a well-off suburb in one generation. So, I have the perspective and I don't think Jim Jubak is saying that people are helpless or hapless. Actually, he is saying the opposite.
One of the things you learn as you climb the ladder in life is that the higher you go, the more you see and the more you appreciate the path you had to follow and the decisions made. Things are not as simple as just working hard and planning - it is necessary but often not sufficient. Luck and events above you still influences a lot - most people just don't think about it that much because they are not involved in the decisions.
What is also not appreciated is that the political and economic picture influence people's lives more than most people realize. It definitely helps if you don't have to "fight the current" as Jim Jubak states.
Most people don't place much credence in our political system these days (and with good reason given recent history). But, frankly, giving up and not trying to make a difference in the bigger picture and just keep banging your head against the wall is not going to get you to the top. Some do but don't kid yourself about the odds (realistically it's about 2%). I am not saying you should sit on your butt but you really have to understand where you are and the nature of the path in front of you before you can figure out where and how far you are going.
The irony is that you figure this out after the journey.
Posted by wordfrominside April 10, 2008 2:42 AM
Excellent comments, all. Seems like I touched a nerve. Those odds of 2% . . . I like those odds. Seems like several others like those odds, too, since there's more people from more countries around the world trying to come to the good old US of A to make it. It's so much better than the zero percent where they are from. Come one, come all--I would rather have the hard workers and risk takers (regardless of education) on my team than slackers and excuse makers. As long as that happens, Democracy, Capitalism, and the Rule of Law will take care of the rest.
---Jonthan
Posted by Jonathan Coyle April 10, 2008 6:52 AM
Jonathan,
I read your post and at the end I was not sure what to think. I agree with many of your principles and ethics and I believe that at the core you and I and Jim agree that all of these things are important and the correct way of life. From reading your post I am guessing you are in your mid-20's (you have 40 years till retirement). That puts me about 15 years ahead of you. I also live very much within my means and always have. During the past years when neighbors were constantly going on super expensive cruises and buying new $40k+ cars and boats and things I was still driving two cars that were paid for within 6 months of purchasing them and that were 12 and 11 years old respectfully. I invested in the stock market, put the maximum into our 401K's and had a very nice safety net in liquid assets. I owned a house I built 13 years ago and that is now half of what the original mortgage is for and will be paid off in another 5 years or so. So I understand your arguments. However, I could not help but think you were just being a little bit too cocky or self righteous or something. I am not sure what it was, but I think there is a little bit of young generation inexperience in your comments. I am not really complaining about gas because I drive rather fuel efficient cars and have for the past 11 years (my choice). But nonetheless it does eat into my future savings or current standard of living. Same for everything else that is going up in price. You say you made choices about where you live (close to your and your wife's work). But what if you lost your job? You now have a choice you need to make (try and find a similar paying job, take a pay cut to get a job within 2 miles or just not work). No matter which of those and other various options you are more than likely going to have an impact on your life (driving further away, gas costs, insurance costs, time lost, etc). You did not choose to quit your job, you just lost it - due no fault of your own). OR another example - you have children and one of them has health issues which cost a lot of money. This is something that will impact you greatly, from what jobs you take, to where you live, to what you can afford to buy, etc). Once again you had no choice in that matter (other than choosing to have children), it was just dealt to you. As you get older you will come to learn that your life can be greatly controlled by yourself, but there will be unlucky things that get thrown your way, some of which can be incredibly unlucky and financially significant. Also there is no lack of corporate greed in this country. I love America, but if you have ever viewed history then it looks like America just crested its high in the last decade or so. Greed is always the downfall and it will be now too. Things that are socially right the government refuses to move on because of corporate and individual greed gets in the way. We don't do what is best for the country but what is best for myself (the elected official).
What if food prices go up another 20% and gas (auto and home) another 30% this year. It is incredibly naive of you to think you can manage these away. I guess you could just turn off your electric and move to an all protein shake diet or something. But to what end? Take care and good luck with your dreams and future. I hope they and everyone else's work out and I hope just somehow 30 years from now when I am ready to retire that significant retirement egg I have saved and built will actually be worth something.
Posted by daborg69 April 11, 2008 2:43 PM
Mr Jonayhan, I can see the great pride in your article for that which you have accomplished. You could look aound and see many others who have done the same proir and will after you. But if you believe that just because the choices you made were sucessful, don't for one minute believe that you could not have failed using the same choices. There must always be more poor people than wealthy in order to make the system which you depend on to work to your advantage. The odds have always been ten thousand to one at your level and one million to one at the level of those in the multimillionaire level.
The rules of this game can be changed to relegate you to the ten thousand bracket quite easily. Many of those people you decry as lazy, live just above the restuarant you frequent, making less than the minimum wage. You eat there, enjoy the meal and do not consider their condition, this is the same attitude that those more wealthy have. "The poor must be poor because they are lazy, because look at me, I did it on my own with good planning and hard work".
I remember when Rome taxed food in order to keep people hungry, so that they had to work for the wealthy. I also remember when the caucasian took away the land from the African and then forced them to work the land for just enough to buy food.
Beware young man, there is much you have not seen. The day comes (and shortly) when you will be be in the position of which you speak rashly. When you have to commute because of the living close to where you work is made high by the lawmakers and property owner. And you can't afford the cost of food, and can't grow your own in an appartment. And the cost of taxes, heating and other utilities on the house you have just bought is a burden. And the house you just bought is valued less than what you paid for it.
But these are just the thoughts of a foolish old man.
Yah934
Posted by YAH934 May 2, 2008 11:33 AM
your ideas for saving are good advice... fine practices for all. however you are mistaking good fortune as being the result of hard work and good planning only. there is also an element of chance in your results. picture a world where all citizens had equal intelect, enrgy, desire... everything equal. there would still be the same number of people at the bottom of society as today! the only way up would be for somebody else to fall down and allow you to take their better place in society. do you really believe everybody who has less than you has earned their reward? further extrapolation would be that all that have more than you earned this also and deserve it all? how many really wealthy people do you think ever worked hard? come on kid open your mind up a little!
Posted by jmedina555 July 24, 2008 12:37 PM