February 2008 Archives (Rics Pics)

February 2008 Archives

SIRF

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The past two days have finally brought some needed stock price increase to SIRF. The stock has found momemtem. I would not buy at this point. In fact I sold 50 shares today incase there is an unexpected pull back, even then it would seem to risky to buy even for me because the time frame is so slim to make real money on this stock. If you bought in earlier this week, I could not be happier for you. There is plenty for everybody at RICS PICS. As far as holding this stock be prepared to cut the apron strings as early as monday or tuesday. As I said in the past blogs I have been buying this stock as it was plummetting the past 2 1/2 weeks. Every time I thought it hit bottom it would fall some more but at each fall I bought a 100 more. I thought I was nuts. Earnigs will be on Monday the 4th after market hours. Be ready to pull the trigger.I personally am looking for a high of $17 to $19 If you can't be at your computer Monday and Tuesday, teach your significant other what button to push or use a stop limit price to sell which ever is easier for you personally. Then Tuesday afternoon we'll find another one. As far as VIP goes it was another good day at UP $1.40 from this morning, might hold this untill tomarrow. See, thats wishful thinking that can get you into trouble, we are not, not out of the woods yet. You must keep a close eye on your investments, only you can do this. I know we have seen a couple, four days of green on the charts but remain on the watch. As always enjoy yourself trading and lets make some money TIMEISMONEY

Microsoft & Yahoo

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Yahoo, Lets start there. They never had vision. They had it all first and gave it to GOOGLE. For those of you new to this, Yahoo hired Google to do their searches. WHAT? Also Yahoo is the internet gateway for most all law enforcment, schools and local goverment.( Ad income ) If Yahoo knew what they had, or the vision to see 1/2 of their own potential, they would not be in this position. (to be bought) The ony thing worse than bad business is poor leadership. You can recover from bad business decisions with great leadership, but, bad leadership lives on till death. I could go on and on, but, why? Now, Microsoft. Why, you might say would they want a company without leadership ? The first decision MSFT will make after the merger will be to cut the fat and there ladies and gentlemen is where MSFT will prevail in this meger. The first to go will not be the engine of the company or blue collars, it will be the white collars.They won't say how many jobs overlap yet but you can bet management will be first to go (good ridence) Once MSFT gets thier hands on yahoo and puts thier own R & D to work on it there is no telling where this new corporation will go. MSFT has always thought it quicker to buy, sometimes steal,(if you believe the rumors) than invent so this is a perfect fit in thier business model. With one of the richest men in the world at the helm, I truly believe Bill Gates can hardly sleep waiting for this merger to go thru. Kinda like Chrstmas. Now more than the why is how much can we make from this play? Well for me, I say buy now, buy now, buy now ! Meaning buy as soon as the market is done post wipping MSFT, and they will and then what a buy. I never say buy and hold , I can't beleive it myself , but, buy and hold, Buy it for the long term. I don't think it can be beat by any other stock. One reason is Bill Gates will not let it fail. He will throw money at this until it succeeds, I might even buy and hold some myself. RICS PICS #1 stock pic of 2008 -MSFT-

WHY, I LOVE THIS WEB SITE

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I love this web site, especially the blogs. A lot of the great advice, stock picks, new idea's, research. And I believe there's a lot of entertainment factor here if you enjoy the investmenrt crowd. Jon Coyle's blog about buying ETF's for some reason entrigued me. I have never bought ETF's , I guess because the time I take to invest in evaluating stocks how could I work ETF's in. Well was I surprised at what I found. There is something for everyone with every type of investing interest. I saw a whole new world. Now, I, consider myself a pretty good Mutual fund investor but, the volatity just isn't there. Besides how exciting is watching the numbers turn over at 5:30 PM everynite? I still own them because they have a place in my investing stradegy. Now, back to ETF's. How great is that you can buy a small mutual fund and the price changes throughout the day? I found it quite interesting. So it began, I started with Proshares, all of them so as not to leave any slip past me. I first looked for % gains over YTD, 3 months, 4 weeks & 5 days and picked out the best gainers. The reason I didn't go back further than 3 months was because of the way the market has been it didn't seem to make much sense since 3 months ago is actually 1/2 to 3 years as far as stock price's go, so why waste time? Well, that widdled down the group to about 15. I spent some time looking over the individual holdings just to make sure they knew what they were doing, You know, I didn't want to be buying any lame ducks. Well it seemed to me they hold mostly commonly held stocks with a few ETF's holding some unkowns but not many. I quickly came to realize that they know what they are doing. I then began charting the earnings and growth of the ETF's over 5 days , 3 months and YTD and found to my astonishment a lot of these ETF's are beating the markets. I scratched my head, sharpened my pencil and it was so. As bad as the markets have been 8 have beat the markets substantially. I was surprised that the financials have been doing so well recently. Well now I have myself a watch list made and after I was done I felt confident enough in PIO (Water Companys), PEJ (Leisure & Entertainment), PKB (Building and Construction), PZI ( Micro Caps) to purchse in my SLOR2 portfolio and ADRE ( Emerging Markets ) & ADRU ( European Markets ) I plan to buy Monday in my personal portfolio. I have a soft spot for the emerging market's, It just has done so well the last 2 years. My overall take on the market is momentum growing in micros, small caps and then the very large Value Corperations able to buy and sell the competition.These are also areas of the markets I believe are gaining momentum. One thing I learned was that as with Mutual funds they are a seemingly safe investment vehicle. It's not my cup of tea but, I am all about making money and this sure has a place in my investment stratadgy. As the markets turn for the better, I also believe this is going to take a lot of the volatilly out of our retrurns.Therefore make more money quicker and hold it longer than individual stocks. So, thanks Jonathon for sharing , I know it will help my portfolio grow and really that's all we really want. Now its time to vote in case your new to this and aren't sure what to do next. Please. Its up top at the stars, just click one, OK? Thank's and as always comments are welcome, all of them good or bad. Timeismoney

MAKE NO MISTAKE, we're not off the bottom yet

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Mistakes, hard to rectify, easy to make. Don't let your guard down. Try not to get loose with your purchase's or should I say holds. If you smell trouble, as in stock based compensation, naked short list, shorting of your stock to hedge losses, selling of stock to raise capital, selling of securities to raise capital, borrowing large sums of money. If you see any of these key words in news pertaining to your stock of choice, SELL and sell fast. Take the hit now rather than later. Becuse later might mean double digit losses compared to 1 to 9%. Even if your stock dosn't go down, its better to be safe than sorry right now. There's always another stock pick to fall back to. We are not off the bottom yet, I have seen similer gains before a couple of times, only to be disapointed by the market. Believe me I don't want to rain on your parade but, losses could be tomorrow, or not. Next, nobody likes to talk about mistakes. I urge you to please write about them. Any small thing you have noticed that causes you to have a loss and you see where you went wrong. Please comment in your blog about it. I would rather learn how to avoid a loss than to win this contest. After I have suffered a loss I go over every thing that I did to find ouy why. Believe it or not there are warning signs along the way. Of course its not a set of rules but, there are signs no matter how subtle. In these times when even good news brings lower stock prices be aware. Let's help one another to learn. Thank you, and good luck we are gonna need it. Timeismoney

How low can we go

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As I wrote 2 days ago, we are not off the bottom yet, but I see a quick recovery to last weeks prices in a day or two, For now, how about those buys. SBUX, YHOO DE,& AC , to name a few.ACC has my attention right now, please blog your thoghts. Mine are that its human nature to always provide for the children, no matter what the economy. So the kids will get that education. Keep your eyes open and I can't thank Jonathan Coyle enough for turning me on to ETF's. Great Blog. They are the only thing holding my portfolio together right now. It looks like Mr Market is not done using MSFT as a wipping post. He wouldn't have any trouble finding another canidate. Myself, I'll watch it this week to see how it's making out, then pick a down to buy sometime next week.
Good Luck Friends, Timeismoney, I also want to thank you all for your e-mails, but please place your comments on the blog so eveyone can learn. I woulkd like to place comments on your blogs but do not know how, I can't get it to work. Any instructions please send them to me or blog it.

TO ALL THE FISHERMEN - NRVN

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For all the fisherman out there here is the pick for you from Rics Pics. NRVN today bought Castaic Softbaits. They make swim bait lures. Right now the top in the country. The stock NRVN shot from $1.55 to $ 3.99 and back to $2.99. Thier lures were fetured on the front page of Field & Stream twice. See I read your blogs. I would give you advice but, you know what to do with it. Good Luck Timeismoney

NRVN, did anyone do any fishing

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Maybe stock picking is more like fishing than I thought. NRVN if bought when I recomended for $1.85. Today was as high as $2.55 and closed @ $2.35. I'll do the math. If little Johnny bought 1000 shares @ $ 1.85 on Wed and sold 1000 shares on Fri. for $2.50 how much money would johnny had made? Little Johnny would have made $650.00. Thats a 35% incease in funds. Not bad for 2 days. Now, like I have said many times before my style is not for everyone. I can't help myself when it comes to making money, if it works I got to do it. My portfolio in the contest does not reflect my real life trading. I have tried some new things and they are not for me and they are not working. But, I'm no quitter, I'll just keep plugging along. When I found NRVN I was just fooling around in the penny stocks. Being a fisherman myself and seeing fishing come up in so many blogs I thought it woukd be fun to see where it went. I really did not think, up. After about 4 hours after I posted the blog I thought, Boy I hope I don't ruin somebodys day with that joke. Well when it went up I nearly LOL. So, being there are fewer and fewer fishermen getting thier boots wet lately I don't see the price of a licence going down. Now isn't that what it really is all about? The economics of any sector. Even Duff Beer, as everybody knows is every fishermans friend on the stream, river or ocean. It should be enjoyed regularly, but with any adult beverage, moderation. There is one more thing I would like to get some reaction to on is this market. Is buying shorting ETF's and Gold the only way turn a profit anymore? Have fun on your weekend, We are to get freezing rain & snow tonite in PA so, I hope yours is better than mine. Timeismoney

PFE, BUY TIME THIS WEEK

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Pfizer, A large robust pharmaceutical corporation, with a large R & D, world wide sales and productuion. Over 40 years of consectutive dividend growth. Increasing book value. Sales of 48.6 Billion, 5 year growth of 8.5%. Net profit of 17.41% Institutoinal ownership of 61% with Barkleys World Fund and insiders buying in the past 3 weeks. The company has made many profitable aquisitions and alliance's to bring new products to the market place. The future looks bright with the babyboomers being prescibed more drugs. The Social Securty prescription drug program making more drugs affordable to more people. Even perhaps the frutatiuon of a nation wide health insurance program. This is not to mention their Animal Health Division. With people spending more on thier pets now than ever before and the farming needs around the world. All this is enough to convice most of us to invest in this stock. But, for me it was the chart that caught my attention. This stock has been caught up in the market wide sell off and has reached a 3 year low on Jan. 22. @ $21.56. Then climbed to $23.78 on Feb 4. It then fell to $22.18 Friday. On Monday depending on market pressures PFE may fall to $21.35 in early trading then start its climb to around $23.00 by Wed. or Thurs.. At that time the market will drive the price. If the sell off continues then so shall the price of PFE fall. If the maket improves then so shall PFE. There are two ways to profit from this stock pick. One, you can buy at $21.35 or so than hoild untill $23.50 and sell. Then rebuy @ $22 agian as the chart tells me to do. Or you can buy Mon or Tues. and hold for the next 1 to 5 years. Either plan will work and you won't buy this stock any cheaper. I think I'll do both, hold some and sell some. As always I wish you good fortune and congrats to the leaders. Timeismoney

DUMP HD & LOW

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Masco Corp., MAS has reported lower sales. Thier profit line droped dispite the effort of raising prices. With HD and LOW two of thier best custumers it only makes sense that sales are also sluggish at the two giant retailers. Thier future guidence also lowered for the next quarter. The builders are nearly at a stand still right now and with lay offs high it dosen't look like the home builders can help them. Thats the real bread and butter behind Lowes and Home Depot. Then Americans largest indivdual investment, thier homes, being devalued and unable to tap into that investment for income. All a product of the housing bubble popping. It does not look like homeowners will be making as many weekend trips to the do it yourselfers shopping choice. So. if raising prices can't do it and custumers don't have the spendable cash to lift sales, that sure sounds like the word the Fed cannot say or seem to do anything about. Is it not inevitable that they cannot stop something that has ultimitly already happened. Is it not this administrations steady ignoring of something that will not go away, then throw money at it, thier way of handling things. Look out Bernanke if Pres. Bush puts his arm around you and says your doing a heck of a job, your probably next to go. Caution : this blog is facts mixed with opinion, not to be taken too seriously. As always good luck and congrats to the leaders. Timeismoney

PFE - update

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Looks like Pfizer has started its rise. Look for it to hit at least $23.50 before another drop. Then heads up agian.

MSFT is today the day ?

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MSFT is up $.20 @ $28.63 and at last look 1:20 PM its up to$ 28 76. up $.42. Is today the day to buy ? I thought so, but I bought with a stop order at $28.40 . For those of you that don't use a stop order or unfamiliar with this tactic, It means that if the price of MSFT should drop to or below $28.40 my stock broker will sell MSFT as quickly as possible. This is not an exact science. First they will sell all market orders, then the stop orders are next in line. Meaning you could possibly lose more money on a fast dropping stock. It is still better than no safety net at all. Now back to Microsoft, by all calculations the stock is worth $40.00. I am buying because its 5 star MSFT. I really am not concerned who they buy at this point. What I am concerned with is that if the buy of Yahoo goes through, will the market punish MFST even further. That my friend is why I am using the stop order, which I will move up or down daily so as not to lose the days profits Some have doubts about this stock, I for one do not and I am not alone. This is still my number 1 pick of 2008 and only time will tell. One thing for sure is when was the last time you ever bought anything of quality for $40.00 that was on sale for $29.00 and you were disapointed ?

PFE- UPDATE & STOP ORDERS

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If your holding PFE watch closely this week as it is a turning point for this stock. Down alittle right now but not enough to pull the trigger. If we can break resistance tomarrow and pull positive numbers this trade should do well. Not a rocket burner, but well. The market is level today so theres no chance of losing it all. If your wondering why so cautious, I've seen to much go wrong in the market the last 4-6 months. Alot of uncalled for, major sell offs at no fault of any peticular stock. So, I will keep a close eye on this market until I feel my money is somewhart secure. Of course with all bad news comes good, look forward to all the great buys. But,as I said before its your money keep an eye on it. We are not off the bottom yet, but there are some promising sighns. Still that is not an all out go signal by any means. There is still alot of shortting going on. The market runs in cycles and it's tuff to break habits. Tune in as we search for one of those rocket burmers for next week. Remember to keep one eye on the market and one finger the sell button. That reminds me, always use a stop orders to control losses, but not to close to the ask price as you can lose a good buy by being too cautious. The rule I use is 4% of the total cost of the buy including brokerage cost's. On a $20 stock you set your stop order at $19.20. Each stock will require thier own stop by checking the volatity of the stock. If it consistently moves $1 to $2 a day then you must ajust your stop so as not to lose your stock or your shirt. Best of investing to you, Timeismoney

MSFT: NOT TODAY

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I was hoping that MSFT was ready to shed the X on its back as the markets wihipping boy but, no such luck. Around 9:50 yesterday morning I moved my stop order up to $28.80 as I prepared for the day. Before I got out the door it sold. So, Hold on a little longer as the market is not done with MSFT. I must admit my mouth was watering Wednesday as the price began to climb. The market did not disappoint which is why stop orders and moving them up throughout the day is so important. Maybe Monday, But whenever, one thing for sure it will be a buy. Rest assured when this stock goes it will climb quickly. Like most good things, they come to those who wait. Some profit in those shortting ETF's but, As Jonathan Coyle warns they are not for the weak at heart. You can lose it faster than make it. They are one of those that even with stop orders it may drop $.45 to $.1.00 before your order clears or more. Good Luck to all,
Timeismoney

MONDAY MAYBE A GOOD DAY TO BUY

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This Monday is the third Monday of the month. It is the day that the Options Puts and Calls are due to be cashed in or sold. It's been a long time since I read up on that stuff but, I do know generally that the third Monday of the month is a down day on the market in the best of times. I could be wrong, but I'm waiting until Monday for any buys. I hope this is usefull information. Have a great weekend and Best of luck. Timeismoney

ROCKET STOCKS

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ADSK, WFMI, CECO, These 3 stocks are on the pad and ready to launch. At least $5 in a couple weeks . More if you hold. They are all quality stocks on thier low and ready to go. PDCO is also a good stock but it is already on its way up. These stocks are a few of the many could take off in the condition of the current market. Check them out for your self and please comment. Happy investing. More on why I think so later. I wanted to get these out You might want to let WFMI ride a day or two to see when it's going to goi Ric Bottorf aka Timeismoney

UPDATE: ADSK up in after hours trading : Bought Kynogon, SA. A top video game maker

THE ONE STOCK YOU NEED TO OWN NOW

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I don't beleve this should be a big suprise to anyone. Very little research would reveal this gem. We don't even need a drum roll really. This is a stock that has had many names and provided services to your grandparents and grandchidren. They have the best equipment money can buy. I don't believe they have ever shown a loss ever. They cover many areas of our every day live's. In the "old" days you could not communicate with anyone without them. They are recession proof. They have been the brunt of many a joke. They are the history of communications in the US and the world. They are within 10% of thier 52 week low. The short interest is less than 5% of float. They have an S&P 5 star strong buy rating. Above Industry average PE and Profit Margin. If you like insider buying they even have that going on. In fact I don't think the world could turn without them or someone like them. The shape the market is in has drasticly changed my buy behavior. I have never even considered some of the stocks I have bought lately. Mostly because of the price of stocks and the stability that these stocks used to have. I am talking about the stocks our grandparents would have bragged that they bought back in the 50's. Some of the best stocks in America have become stocks that could grow 30% at any time very quickly. These companys were and still are the backbone of American Industry and are now at prices that are, well, to good to be true. So, as the sell off has hurt, it also has brought the best of breed stocks into all price ranges. I have seen a lot of good signs lately from the market but, am still very cautious. I see this stock as a buy right now and that sock is T. This stock is going places soon. I hope all is well with you and yours and wish you all good luck in your investing.. Timeismoney aka Ric Bottorf

PDCO

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PDCO looks like a rising rocket for the following reasons. The compoany deals in Dental Care Supply, Rehab hard parts, and Animal medical products. All three areas I expect recoverery to occur quickly The stock is being featured in a few momentum stock news letters. Never underestimate the power of the press. The EPS has increased from $.51 from $.44 a year ago. PDCO has bought Advanced Practice Systems which should help cut cost's and improve profit. They have also have aquired two rehab equipment and supply dealers. Afterwards they are still sitting on cash. 14.6% increase in sales growth with 3rd 1/4 sales up 10%. Options being bought are for the $35 and up contracts. Stock price is low compared to competitors. I only expect a very short term rise of these stock prices. This is not a buy and hold sugestion. This is a buy and be prepared to sell when the stock peaks @ $37 to $39 a share. Sell, then perhaps come back to this stock if it continues to rise in price. If you want to buy and hold your reading the wrong blog. This stock should be sold as soon as your comfortable with your profit. Some folks cannot or don't have the desire to constantly watch stock prices and therfore buy stocks that will rise steadily and keep thier value. That maybe the best policy for you. however, I like to hit 3 out of 5 quick rising stocks and sell, take my profits and move on to the next.
Good luck with this stock and in all you do.
Timeismoney aka Ric Bottorf

COFFEE, ANYONE

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Who dosen't like Starbucks Coffee. Well me for one, but, I must be one of few. Theres a Starbucks on near every corner and there all busy. Also you can't turn your back on the Chinese Market. I can't say Starbucks In Chinese but it spells profit. Theres a lot of fair argument that Starbucks was a momentum stock but, with the past stock market sell off the price surely could not go any lower. They have rising EPS growth. Same store numbers remain steady. Growth through out China is yet to be seen as a profitale move but, with the right management its hard to see a bad there. The stock price has seemed to level off and may be a time to buy. I bought last week when the price was $17. but its been there before 3 times this month but not since 2004 before that. In 2003 it was a $10 stock. The stock carries a 5 star stong buy S&P rating. This stock has been a favorite of many analysts and investors alike because it is a good solid stock with growth potential. I personally would like to see more fresh food sales but there must be reasonng behind it not being available to consumers at the stores. I read somewhere they were going to offer more point of sale food items, but how many cupcakes can one eat everyday ? However, if the growth in China reflects that of the US, This stock should begin its recovery to leadership rather quickly. On the other hand it would not take much bad news for SBUX to become a $10 stock agian. Perhaps the sell off of stock by insiders could do it. Theres been the planned sale of 217,800 shares this year so far. or not. The stock has had a lot of resistence on the way down and now at $18 it seems to have found bottom. The numbers look good but, it wouldn't hurt to wait a while and see if the buyimg continues or the stock faulters. I say buy but if your not prepared to sell quickly and cut your losses than wait a week or two and give it a chance to fly or die. Good Luck to all,
Ric Bottorf

WHAT TO BUY NEXT ? TECH ?

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What to buy next ? Well according to one of the richest men and perhaps the most generous in the world, Mr Bill Gates, that would be technology stocks. The main man behind Microsoft annouced to the world or at least those who listened that speech recognition and speech synthesis programs that allow computers to understand speech and for cumputers to speak to you are the next tech growth stocks. His words exactly were that computers would no longer need key boards. I took that to mean that people are going to need those progams. My next thought was perhaps even head sets and microphones would be a big seller in the hardware department. It is amazing how much faster and accurate speech is compared to typing. Could you imagine how many new head sets will be needed for the computers all ready sold, let alone those yet to be sold. How about business PCs. Cubicle after cubicle of computers, all needing head sets.Military, Health Care. What about FED, State and Local Goverment offices. That would mean that every business from the programs to the plug to the wire to the head set all getting millions of orders. Don't forget Dolby. How about wireless head sets ? If we go another step forward, all those office cubicles will need enclosed or something to keep the noise levels down. Most by glass and aluminum. This one change could spark a constuction boom. So far we have copper wire, aluminum, glass, plastics, male & female plugs, head sets, micriphones, programs, speakers, Bluetooth all getting a nuge. My first transition from this information to stock picks would be MSFT. This could be the very news I was waiting on. I believe this is bigger than Yahoo. NUANCE (NUAN) Nasdaq makes and markets Dragon Naturally Speaking the best speech recognition programs available. If you look back to Feb.11, over 10 million shares were bought. The 10 day avg. vol. is 3.8 million and back on Dec 19, 2007 another 10 million shares bought. Coincidence ? The last time this stock sold over 10 million shares a day was 1999, once. Only 10 times has it ever sold over 5 million shares in a day in its history. The stock was down to $ 17.07 on Friday. I would need to know if MFST has its own speech reconition program or not. If they don't I would buy NUAN. Still the public alone will buy enough of Dragon Natural Speaking to raise the stocks price. When I bought this program 8 years ago I paid about $20 for it. Now its $60 to $180 on Amazon.com Allright, now lets look into head sets. I would think wireless head sets would be the most popular, so that means Bluetooth will get a resurgence. That means from the Bluetooth website that Ericson, Intel, Lenovo, Microsoft, Motorola, Nokia, and Toshiba have the most experience at bluetooth. The first thing I see on this list is a double. MSFT. Thats another stroke to buy MSFT. I am suprised not to see Sony on the list. To me when you say quality computers and electronics you say Sony. So although Sony was not on the web sites list, I think Sony is my head set pick, wireless & wired, Although Ericson, Lenovo, and Toshiba will have the lower priced market. At this point I am going to stop and continue the head set battle on another blog. On review, so far we have MSFT, and NUAN as for sure buys to cover the keyboard free world. Please comment your thoughts . May your profits allways be going up. Timeismoney aka Ric Bottorf

ADSK

Rating: 2.00 (1 votes) Vote:

This stock was recommended to me by a professional stock analyst. I have been watching this stock for 8 months now. It was first a buy before the market sell off and more recently as the market began to bottom out. ADSK was a $50 + stock as early as Dec 2007. Since then it has tumbled to $38.60, no fault of the stock, basicly market conditions. Autodesk Inc. ADSK a solutions provider to the Architecture, Engineering and Constuction Industry. Also kown as A/E/C industry. Has aquired a division of ( NYSE) ARP American Reprographics Company located in the Atlanta area and will provide local offices in the South Eastern US and help provide CAD software to some 4000 orginizations in the soutern US. ADSK has also aquired the games software provider Kynogen. Both deals to be completed in the next 3 months. Marc Petit , Senior Vice President of Media and Entertianment said " The future of vidio games is about sophisticated game play,with more believable characters and enviorments. Our goal is to simplify vidio game development by creating cutting edge tools to create, animate, and intregrate 3D assets into game engines. The aquistion of Kynogon ia a key component in reaching that goal." Kynogon is a main supplier to the entire vidio game industry. They have partnered with almost every vidio game maker in the world. Has won many awards for thier expertise in the vidio game industry and are known world wide. In 2007 they also aquired Navisworks, and Plasso Tech, a supplier of analysis and simulation software for the mechanical design market. Also in Jan 2008 they completed the acquistrion of Hanna Strategies and Robobat.

The products avialiable through Autodesk are as the Vice President of Media and Entertianment said. They are cutting edge and quite pricey The tools available for animation, UV texturing, Hair, skin, facial and enviormental rendering software run from an entry level subsciption for $599. available in March, to the extremly complicated software at $4995.

Autodesk also announced an increased commitment and activity in global education programs and sponsership through new Centers of Excellence (COEs) in China, India, and Russia. This is possible because of Autodesks grasp of the world wide industrys needs and the ability to provide funding and expertise in state of the art research and consulting.

The company is in a state of constant improvement and R&D to put out the best products possible in a world wide competative market. Be it the aqusistion of new technology or improvment of products in use.

The company is orginized into two segments. The Design Solutions Segment and the Media and Entertianment Segment. DS segment accounted for 87% of income in 2007. Eps has had constant improvement. 89.8% gross Magin, 17.2% net Margin, P/E normalized 32.4, Return on Assets 19.8%, Equity 32.7 Per share data EPS excluding extraordinary items 1.47, EPS normalized 1.19, Rev per share 8.53, BV per share 5.11 Cash per share 3.78, cash flow per share 1.71 No dividend for ADSK Growth, Sales 14.2% EPS 30.3% It also carries an S&P 4 star buy rating

There seems to be yearly stock options compensation.That seems to cut down on the
amount of insider buying. Still ADSK has had no insider buying in the past 5 years. There has been planned sales.

Now to why I would buy this stock. It is selling at a dicount right now compared to its
competitors and has leveled out at $38.50 for 11 days now. That means the shorting and playing with this stock price has ran its course. The $40.00 call option contracts are selling well. I can't say that this stock will shoot to $50.00 but what I am willing to say is this stock will go to $ 44.50 with in 2 weeks and provide a nice profit. A little patience to allow it to make its move , Buy and Sell in 2 to 3 weeks at most. Really I don;t think it will be that long Well I hope this has answered J'an commennte's questions at service@investorplaceblogs.com

Ric Bottorf

Rocket Stocks ? UPDATE

Rating: 1.00 (1 votes) Vote:

ADSK Wed. FEB. 20 BUY @ $37.80 Mon.25th close $39.30 +$1.50 & still climing

Wed. FEB. 20 Not yet, wait for bottom. could be awhile
WFMI I jumped the gun on this one but, as I said in the original blog wait for it to bottom

CECO Wed. FEB 20 UP $.38 Today Lost Faith OFF LIST Still has chance if credit woes lighten up but there are much better financial plays TANK THIS ONE

PDCO Wed. FEB. 20 BUY @ $33.50 Mon. 25th close $36.49 +$2.99 & still climing

I think these three will reach thier $5.00 gain Target
will UPDATE next week

SELL OFF, TUES & WED ? or sooner

Rating: 1.50 (2 votes) Vote:

The market showed signs of another sell off today with no good news to be reported anywhere.
Stop orders should be the action of the day. You should be protecting any profits you may be showing as a precautionary guide if nothing else. A stop order allows your broker to sell your stock if it drops below a predetermined price. I hope I am wrong but if not there are stop orders as some protection.The reasons for a sell off are too many to list but I'll give a few. Some analysts still beleve the sock market is over priced. The last of the baby boomers that did not pull thier retirment out of the market yet, will within days. The retirees that have money in the stock market yet will also pull out soon, very soon. Everyday investers have no reason to stay in.the market, unless you enjoy the frustration of earning very small profits with the chance of lossing it all sundenly is something you enjoy doing. Its been a relaxed market for about 8 to 10 days now. Just long enough to get comfertable. just long enough to get you to invest a little more thah usual. Then bam, Sell Off, but like I said with all the good news lately it might not happen.The present state of the econemy,cash is king. Even with the lower interest rates borrowed money is hard to come by. Institution buyers will be looking to cut losses as they rode out the last sell off and caught a lot of flack from investers. I don't think they will sit on thier hands this time. Of course there is the chance some good news could fall froim the sky. The FED has done about all they can do. They could buy out all the ajustable rate mortgages out there about to foreclose. Or send $1200 emergency checks out to everyone with a SS#. The trouble is they just can't fill the hole that falling house values are creating now. A home worth $200,000 financed @ 80% or $160000 is now worth $158000. Now that home can only be remotgaged @ $126400. Pity the fool that mortgaged @ 100 % or 110% like I saw advertised in 2005. Remember 2005, home prices will never go down and those ajustabvle mortgages won't rise, these are the lowert interest rates in a decade. Did you hear that story ? Of course thats not the only problem we have right now, thats reallly old news. Now we have high energy prices that seem to have no ceiling, unemployment benefits running out, no savings and no incentive to save. Declining sales in all sectors but gas and oil.This is nothing that is not on every news channel every day.Keep your eyes on the weather , one cold snap and oil will go crazy Its starting to seem like the only good news is about the war. I would love to recommend a stock right now but, in good conscience I can't. A few stocks I was watching off the rader fell $8 to $12 with good earnings for no reason. So watchout, good luck and Oh yea, don't forget stop orders. Ya know LDK looks like it could move up some more. (couldn't help it, theres always a few that are moving)
Good luck and oh yea, don't forget to use stops. Ric Bottorf

Stop limit oders

Rating: 2.50 (2 votes) Vote:

Thursday evening I was going over the Market numbers and thought to myself, it looks like we could be in for another sell off. I quickly wrote a blog suggesting Mon.,Tues. or sooner that we could be in for a sell off and to use stop limits on your investments. I then went into my portfolios and sold everything on a stop limit .10 cents below the current price Thursday nite. Now you may ask how would you know there is going to be a sell off without sounding like there is a conspiracy. Well I don't know but I'll try. First off I was thinking the market has been too complacent. Yes there was volitity but there also was profit. I almost felt comfertable agian with my trades. I stop using limit orders, I felt I could leave money in the market overnite and still have it in the morning. Then on Thursday evening when I usually take a look at the new blogs and chart new stocks that are blogged about. Every stock I looked at was down after 2 days of being up. Sure it happens but every stock. I then started charting the markets Feb 7 thru Feb 28. when I realized I saw this same pattern before, right before the last sell off. Stock prices were at the same percentage above their 13 day price avg. as the last time. Almost all stocks had been in the green for 2 weeks with a couple days of small correction. On Thursday morning stock analyst were beginning to pump the dume & glume in print and on the air waves. Still the shortting was beginning to show some slow down. Everything looked as if things were going to get better but, it was not to be. Bad report after bad report began to flow, Then Friday morning stock prices dropped, bounced and started to fall, Then the numbers started to come in sell, sell, sell. As I watched the stock numbers sell off in real time it was unbelievable. Every stock in my portfolio sold off by 9:20. As I watched I thought where is MSFT price at. As I looked it was falling to $27.60 and it hung there about 10 minutes. I placed a limit order for $27.35. As I went back to the real time screen it started to drop so I tried to change my order to $27.20. In all of 10 seconds I was too late, my order was being filled right then for $27.35. I know >15 cents a share dosn't sound like much but I pride myself on buying bottom. As hard as it is to do it can be done with practice. Its funny how the market was tanking and all I could think of was what can I buy cheap. The reason I was free to not worry was Thursday nite as I said I put every stock I had on a limit sell order. The reason I did that was to keep my profits. I can't stress enough that as hard as it is to make a profit in this market it's so easy to lose it. If I think the market will tank I put a >10 cent limit order in place the nite before. If I intend to keep a stock long term I use my profit to determine my limit order. Or I use a .40 cent to .80 cent limit. If the stock fluctuates a $1.00 or more per day and I can't watch it I'll use what ever is nessacary to keep the stock but not lose my shirt. Because of stop limit sale orders I slept well and had money to buy a stock I felt was on sale.

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